Anthropic says its staff expect faster AI progress than the US public

Anthropic released two reports on AI’s effects on its own workplace and on expectations for the future. The company says it hired a smaller share of junior workers over the past year; by March 2026, AI agents were working more hours than employees, and by August they outnumbered employees six to one. Productivity increased, although Anthropic acknowledges that code output is an imperfect measure.

In a survey of its employees, compared with an August survey of almost 11,000 US adults conducted by Morning Consult, 91% of Anthropic staff expected AI to make a Nobel-level discovery by 2030, versus 39% of the public. More than half of staff expected AI to perform at least 80% of their current work by 2030, compared with 5% of Americans. Anthropic says the two groups have similar economic models for AI’s effect on employment, but different experiences with the technology.